Pesquisa IBOPE: Lula disparado na frente, com 33%; todos os demais somados têm 36%

A primeira pesquisa presidencial do Ibope do ano, contratada pela CNI, confirma: Lula segue disparado na frente, com 33% das intenções de voto, seguido por Jair Bolsonaro, com 15%, Marina Silva, com 7%, Geraldo Alckmin, com 4%, e Ciro Gomes, com 4%; Lula, no entanto, vem sendo mantido como preso político em Curitiba para não disputar uma eleição que ele venceria com facilidade; todos os demais candidatos somados têm 36%

247 – A primeira pesquisa presidencial do Ibope do ano, contratada pela CNI (Confederação Nacional da Indústria), confirma: Lula segue disparado na frente, com 33% das intenções de voto, seguido por Jair Bolsonaro, com 15%, Marina Silva, com 7%, Geraldo Alckmin, com 4%, e Ciro Gomes, com 4%; Lula, no entanto, vem sendo mantido como preso político em Curitiba para não disputar uma eleição que ele venceria com facilidade; todos os demais candidatos somados têm 36%, o que indica claramente a chance de vitória do ex-presidente no primeiro turno.

A pesquisa foi realizada entre 21 e 24 de junho com 2 mil eleitores em 128 municípios. A margem de erro é de 2 pontos percentuais. Sem Lula no cenário ofertado aos eleitores, as eleições tornam-se uma fraude: brancos e nulos ganham com os mesmos 33% do ex-presidente.

Veja os cenários da pesquisa estimulada (quando são apresentados os nomes dos candidatos):

Cenário com Lula:

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT): 33%

Jair Bolsonaro (PSL): 15%

Marina Silva (Rede): 7%

Ciro Gomes (PDT): 4%

Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB): 4%

Álvaro Dias (Podemos): 2%

Manuela D’Ávila (PC do B): 1%

Fernando Collor de Mello (PTC): 1%

Flávio Rocha (PRB): 1%

Levy Fidelix (PRTB): 1%

João Goulart Filho: 0

Outro com menos de 1%: 2%

Branco/nulo: 22%

Não sabe/não respondeu: 6%

 

Cenário sem Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva:

 

Jair Bolsonaro (PSL): 17%

Marina Silva (Rede): 13%

Ciro Gomes (PDT): 8%

Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB): 6%

Álvaro Dias (Podemos): 3%

Fernando Collor de Mello (PTC): 2%

Fernando Haddad (PT): 2%

Flávio Rocha (PRB): 1%

Guilherme Boulos (PSOL): 1%

Henrique Meirelles (MDB): 1%

Levy Fidelix (PRTB): 1%

Manuela D’ Ávila (PC do B): 1%

Rodrigo Maia (DEM): 1%

João Goulart Filho: 1%

Outro com menos de 1%: 1%

Branco/nulo: 33%

Não sabe/não respondeu: 8%

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